11.12.2012 in Elections 2012, Featured, Politics by Rick Manning 4

Romney made camo wearing voters disappear

By Rick Manning — Analyzing elections when feelings are still raw is usually a bad idea.  Of course that doesn’t stop those with an agenda from opining and pushing specific pet ideas.

That is what we have been witnessing in the wake of Tuesday’s massive disappointment.  The media and some talking heads have been all over the idea that changing demographics are the problem and that Republicans have to become Democrats in order to appeal to Hispanics.

However, digging into the numbers reveals a little more complex story.  Preliminary analysis of exit polls of people who voted suggest that many lower income white voters chose to stay at home rather than vote for the lesser of two evils.

By this analysis, this drop in white participation rather than a massive increase in ethnic participation is likely what caused Romney to lose.  These dropped out voters would not have liked Obama, but didn’t trust Romney either.  In fact, a good argument can be made that Romney, the candidate who establishment Republicans declared to be the most electable, was the worst possible choice to win this election.

In picking Romney, Republicans chose a candidate who personified big business, signed legislation banning semi-automatic firearms, and obviously wore the big government millstone known as Romneycare.

While those in the know continually urged social conservatives to keep quiet, because the election would be won on economic issues, the Obama campaign smartly exploited Romney’s weakness with lower income blue collar voters by playing to their natural suspicion of big business.

As a former state lobbyist for the National Rifle Association, I saw this dynamic repeated in election after election, as blue collar voters struggled between the candidate who they believed represented their economic interest against the one who represented their personal freedom interest.

The 2012 election was set up for these voters choice to be easy, as Obama’s four years in office forfeited any claim he had to being supportive of their economic interest.  Obama also is a threat to their firearm rights and is against them on every social issue.

But, without an opposing candidate who they believed was on their side, they stayed home.  While some might claim that this was a failure of the NRA or other lobbying groups who supported Romney, those groups can only open the door for a candidate, he or she has to walk through it.

Romney didn’t.  Instead, Romney stood at the threshold hoping that others would deliver blue collar voters into his column, without him risking taking any negative media hits.  But there is only so much an organization like the NRA can do when the candidate himself has both a terrible record and never addresses the overall issue in a compelling and convincing way.

Rick Manning is the Director of Communications for Americans for Limited Government.

  • BigMamaTEA

    Or, The Won stole the election. Multiple counties in four or five States, report OVER 100% registered voters voting.

  • http://powerandcontrol.blogspot.com/ M. Simon

    “While those in the know continually urged social conservatives to keep quiet”

    Well the election was lost on economic issues. So I’d say the above was a good idea. “The War On” party does not have a good ring to it.

    I discuss how the Rs are losing the South (according to a commenter) because of social issues.

    The Republican Marketing Problem
    http://classicalvalues.com/2012/11/the-republican-marketing-problem/

  • http://www.facebook.com/jwatersphd James H Waters Phd

    Yes, RIck, what’s really going to bring this country back is . . . guns. ??? Actually, most lower and middle class people knew that none of the right wingers was going to help them on any economic matter. None of the seven dwarves or Romney had any reasonable plan. The idea was, let the rich get richer and maybe there will be some crumbs for the rest, otherwise known as supply side or trickle down or rising tide, which has never worked. The “Liberty” action forum’s only real plan is – what – let the pollution begin, back to the gold standard, let those without health insurance get their health care at the emergency room. People actually can see through that, and they can also see that Obama is not coming for anybody’s guns. He doesn’t give a crap about your guns. Don’t worry, we’ll all have all the guns we want. That should make us happy when the Koch brothers and Trump are making off with the goods. Maybe the rank and file Tea Party people are not so stupid after all.With Obama, they get to keep their guns and not get screwed by the 1%. That’s better than the alternative.

  • http://twitter.com/johnnyangel10 JohnnyAngel Advocacy

    I am but one of the numerous white voters who stayed away. My reason may also resonate with other Social values conservative voters who chose not to elect a pseudo-conservative or non-conservative candidate. We are tired of them pointing us in the liberal Republican agenda driven GOP, so instead hold fast to our values! Romney did not persuade this voter of his sincerity on abortion, gun control and immigration. These are but three of the neo-GOP abandoned principles. Watch, if you think me wrong. The new GOP under the monied rich will soon abandon all social issues to the liberal leftist loons and if continued will become a party of the past, without a vision. Meanwhile , as the demographic changes and Conservatives gather together under a Tea Party banner or some other, we will be a driving force again once people begin to see the folly of Obama!!

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